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Red110
102429.3
51544.8
Blue150
7164.2
50333.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58650100150200250110150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
515
Unranked
44.83.8
30.334.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
71
Unranked
64.28.5
44.753.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1024
Unranked
29.35.5
28.834.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
503
Unranked
33.88.5
20.028.5
Auto
Teleop
End