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Red60
39742.8
5193.9
Blue20
101718.0
83034.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36620501001502006020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
42.81.6
31.032.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
830
Unranked
34.13.6
32.729.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
519
Unranked
3.91.6
7.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1017
Unranked
18.04.9
26.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End