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Red100
30250.9
18440.9
Blue25
5193.9
24531.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5928020408010012014010025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
50.95.5
26.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
245
Unranked
31.90.6
24.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
184
Unranked
40.95.2
28.834.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.0
519
Unranked
3.90.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End