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Red30
8587.8
144722.2
Blue25
50333.8
44017.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354701001502003025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1447
Unranked
22.20.5
24.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
503
Unranked
33.81.5
33.431.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
Unranked
7.80.8
12.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
440
Unranked
17.61.5
11.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End