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Red65
45332.8
102429.3
Blue100
39742.8
23531.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696205010015065100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
453
Unranked
32.80.2
35.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
397
Unranked
42.82.8
29.632.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1024
Unranked
29.30.3
32.332.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
235
Unranked
31.42.8
33.336.0
Auto
Teleop
End