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Red140
7164.2
39742.8
Blue50
133111.8
8535.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9648015020025014050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
64.23.7
58.262.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
85
Unranked
35.70.2
39.839.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
Unranked
42.83.7
32.336.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.0
1331
Unranked
11.80.2
13.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End