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Red40
39123.9
28032.6
Blue150
51544.8
14154.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54104015020025040150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
32.61.5
34.032.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
141
Unranked
54.13.8
56.760.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
391
Unranked
23.91.5
25.423.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
515
Unranked
44.83.8
42.045.9
Auto
Teleop
End