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Red60
49461.1
6757.3
8587.8
Blue15
51854.4
7448.0
90419.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511340501002002503006015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
61.12.2
67.865.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
518
Unranked
54.44.4
60.155.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67
Unranked
57.32.2
64.061.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
74
Unranked
48.03.0
51.948.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
Unranked
7.83.2
17.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
904
Unranked
19.63.0
23.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End