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Red15
75418.2
120917.7
Blue75
15821.7
132916.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353502060801001575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
754
Unranked
18.22.5
16.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
158
Unranked
21.74.9
17.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1209
Unranked
17.72.5
18.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1329
Unranked
16.07.1
16.023.1
Auto
Teleop
End