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Red60
145123.3
102427.7
Blue100
127241.9
93135.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304005010015020060100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
27.73.6
16.620.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.2
1272
Unranked
41.97.6
17.324.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1451
Unranked
23.33.6
14.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
931
Unranked
35.27.6
21.729.4
Auto
Teleop
End