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Red40
131514.2
54730.7
Blue75
100520.7
3116.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423401001502004075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
Unranked
30.70.2
23.223.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1005
Unranked
20.75.0
18.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1315
Unranked
14.222.2
40.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
31
Unranked
16.85.0
16.221.3
Auto
Teleop
End