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Red50
131514.2
53731.8
Blue65
93524.7
16721.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060801001201401605065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
Unranked
31.81.6
22.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
935
Unranked
24.73.0
17.020.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1315
Unranked
14.21.6
15.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
167
Unranked
21.23.0
23.626.7
Auto
Teleop
End