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Red70
102017.8
128820.1
Blue25
109410.5
128618.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526060801001201407025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
Unranked
20.14.5
23.327.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1286
Unranked
18.60.3
15.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1020
Unranked
17.84.5
11.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1094
Unranked
10.50.3
11.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End