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Red90
93135.2
109830.5
Blue95
93326.3
121627.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71340501001502009095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
Unranked
35.22.9
34.237.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1216
Unranked
27.27.1
16.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1098
Unranked
30.52.9
32.735.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
933
Unranked
26.37.1
21.628.7
Auto
Teleop
End