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Red45
134920.5
53521.8
Blue125
65053.0
106720.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40570208010012014016045125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
535
Unranked
21.80.4
21.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.1
650
Unranked
53.08.7
44.353.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1349
Unranked
20.50.4
20.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1067
Unranked
20.08.7
11.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End