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Red65
17135.4
100520.7
Blue5
14358.2
9068.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581604080100120140160655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
Unranked
35.41.5
33.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
906
Unranked
8.31.9
10.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1005
Unranked
20.71.5
19.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1435
Unranked
8.21.9
10.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End