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Red105
6328.5
84737.7
Blue60
19137.7
101030.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5170010015020025010560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
Unranked
37.73.9
32.836.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
191
Unranked
37.70.6
33.532.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
Unranked
28.53.9
20.624.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1010
Unranked
30.30.6
34.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End