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Red130
21729.8
5838.7
Blue35
29422.1
115133.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6259020408010012014013035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
38.75.1
33.638.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1151
Unranked
33.71.8
35.533.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
29.85.1
28.333.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
294
Unranked
22.11.8
23.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End