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Red90
58540.7
12823.6
Blue100
95748.8
121234.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5783010015020025090100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
Unranked
40.72.3
38.440.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
957
Unranked
48.81.5
47.348.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
128
Unranked
23.62.3
21.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
1212
Unranked
34.01.5
32.534.0
Auto
Teleop
End