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Red65
38150.8
52816.3
Blue180
39529.9
6766.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6085010015020025065180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
381
Unranked
50.80.2
39.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
67
Unranked
66.97.3
57.364.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
16.30.2
23.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
395
Unranked
29.97.3
24.832.1
Auto
Teleop
End