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Red20
54733.3
35722.3
Blue55
93326.8
21729.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476701001502002055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
Unranked
33.33.6
27.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
217
Unranked
29.80.7
33.132.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
Unranked
22.32.7
21.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
933
Unranked
26.81.1
31.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End