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Red70
17652.0
24040.4
Blue110
112644.2
1648.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810805015020025070110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
52.00.9
54.353.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
16
Unranked
48.30.4
52.853.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
240
Unranked
40.41.3
27.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1126
Unranked
44.20.5
52.252.8
Auto
Teleop
End