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Red30
101030.3
96851.9
Blue90
95748.8
54733.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85630501001502003090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
51.95.7
53.147.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
957
Unranked
48.82.3
41.643.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1010
Unranked
30.34.0
29.925.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
547
Unranked
33.33.1
23.626.7
Auto
Teleop
End