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Red80
140358.5
19137.7
Blue105
71022.0
48655.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978605015020080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
Unranked
58.51.2
57.656.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
486
Unranked
55.01.3
56.958.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
191
Unranked
37.71.6
38.136.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
710
Unranked
22.01.3
30.531.8
Auto
Teleop
End