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Red125
144837.8
101030.3
Blue60
23435.2
35722.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545202040608010012012560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1448
Unranked
37.85.4
23.428.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
234
Unranked
35.20.4
34.735.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1010
Unranked
30.35.4
29.134.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
357
Unranked
22.30.4
19.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End