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Red160
6428.2
25466.1
Blue120
10754.7
105747.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621200100150200250300350160120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
66.16.9
65.372.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
107
Unranked
54.70.5
57.758.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
642
Unranked
8.27.7
2.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.0
1057
Unranked
47.20.5
55.856.3
Auto
Teleop
End