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Red80
3827.3
103048.2
Blue210
17652.0
6766.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7112105010015020025030035080210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1030
Unranked
48.20.3
45.145.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
67
Unranked
66.97.1
63.670.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
38
Unranked
27.30.3
31.231.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.6
176
Unranked
52.07.1
52.159.2
Auto
Teleop
End