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Red115
84737.7
139148.5
Blue50
82410.6
41845.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7850010015020011550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
Unranked
48.53.0
44.847.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
418
Unranked
45.10.2
38.338.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
847
Unranked
37.73.0
29.732.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.2
824
Unranked
10.60.2
14.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End