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Red130
96851.9
93326.8
Blue100
14016.4
48655.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7670204060100120130100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
51.94.6
51.556.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
486
Unranked
55.02.2
55.157.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
933
Unranked
26.84.6
23.528.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
140
Unranked
16.42.9
15.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End