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Red20
16730.9
52816.3
Blue90
121234.0
29422.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49480204060801001202090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
Unranked
30.92.2
25.122.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1212
Unranked
34.03.0
29.532.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
16.32.0
21.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
294
Unranked
22.13.0
21.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End