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Red150
7937.6
10754.7
Blue40
31316.7
58540.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9449015020025015040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
Unranked
54.74.6
58.162.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
585
Unranked
40.71.0
39.438.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
37.64.6
30.735.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
313
Unranked
16.71.0
14.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End