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Red30
36432.4
4844.3
71022.0
Blue80
81123.9
17652.0
32224.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109108501502003080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
44.32.0
47.645.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
176
Unranked
52.00.7
54.854.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
364
Unranked
32.42.0
35.733.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
322
Unranked
24.50.7
27.326.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
710
Unranked
22.02.0
25.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
811
Unranked
23.90.7
26.725.9
Auto
Teleop
End