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Red100
54933.9
6954.2
Blue60
4030.1
15511.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5726010015020025030035010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
Unranked
54.25.9
34.240.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
40
Unranked
30.13.7
17.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
549
Unranked
33.95.9
18.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
155
Unranked
11.23.7
12.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End