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Red120
23813.9
12132.5
Blue60
147410.5
115323.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4328010015020025030012060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
32.59.8
24.334.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
1153
Unranked
23.83.8
11.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
238
Unranked
13.99.8
17.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1474
Unranked
10.511.5
10.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End