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Red25
56240.5
17226.5
Blue15
13321.0
12472.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552001001502002503003502515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
562
Unranked
40.53.3
30.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
133
Unranked
21.01.2
11.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
Unranked
26.53.3
20.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
1247
Unranked
2.21.2
13.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End