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Red35
31923.2
24117.4
Blue75
9522.4
83921.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563701001502002503575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
23.22.4
29.126.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
95
Unranked
22.44.5
24.228.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
241
Unranked
17.42.4
24.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
839
Unranked
21.34.5
14.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End