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Red145
50156.1
107345.8
Blue45
15124.0
88520.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions853205015020025030035040014545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
Unranked
56.18.2
46.955.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.1
151
Unranked
24.00.8
21.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
45.88.2
32.340.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.1
885
Unranked
20.70.8
17.418.2
Auto
Teleop
End