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Red30
22922.2
4030.1
Blue25
12132.5
147410.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585101001502002503003025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
Unranked
30.13.4
35.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
121
Unranked
32.53.4
34.631.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
Unranked
22.23.4
21.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1474
Unranked
10.53.4
17.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End