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Red150
5845.1
17533.6
Blue25
12472.2
9522.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5939010015020025015025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
45.111.7
26.338.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.7
95
Unranked
22.42.0
28.726.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
175
Unranked
33.611.7
29.941.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.4
1247
Unranked
2.22.0
12.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End