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Red30
128937.7
115323.8
Blue35
17226.5
24117.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593601001502002503035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1289
Unranked
37.73.3
38.535.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
172
Unranked
26.50.5
18.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1153
Unranked
23.83.3
17.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
241
Unranked
17.40.5
20.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End