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Red140
127627.1
17660.7
Blue30
13321.0
2469.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622305010015020025014030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
60.710.3
40.650.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.7
133
Unranked
21.00.4
17.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1276
Unranked
27.110.3
16.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
246
Unranked
9.10.4
10.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End