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Red30
5845.1
15511.2
Blue65
133525.1
12132.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584801001502002503065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
45.13.4
43.540.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
121
Unranked
32.52.0
29.531.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
155
Unranked
11.23.4
13.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
1335
Unranked
25.12.0
19.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End