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Red150
17660.7
19030.8
Blue100
22922.2
5845.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74550100150200250150100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
60.79.8
50.960.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
58
Unranked
45.15.0
40.145.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
Unranked
30.89.8
21.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
229
Unranked
22.25.4
16.822.2
Auto
Teleop
End