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Red25
17334.3
71642.1
Blue10
63710.3
37525.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544501001502002503002510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
42.13.5
27.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
375
Unranked
25.54.5
23.819.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
34.33.5
24.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
637
Unranked
10.34.5
22.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End