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Red20
37525.5
29310.4
Blue10
57132.2
63710.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34330204060802010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
25.51.7
19.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
571
Unranked
32.22.9
15.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
Unranked
10.41.7
14.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
637
Unranked
10.32.9
17.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End