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Red70
21947.6
22827.7
Blue75
36524.3
23749.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444601001502002503007075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
Unranked
47.63.2
28.531.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
237
Unranked
49.13.7
25.829.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
Unranked
27.73.2
15.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
365
Unranked
24.33.7
19.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End