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Red80
71642.1
63710.3
Blue25
55020.8
89611.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422701001502002503008025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
42.15.0
22.927.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.3
550
Unranked
20.80.4
17.116.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
637
Unranked
10.35.0
17.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
896
Unranked
11.60.4
11.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End