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Red30
141221.6
138239.3
Blue40
22424.9
86919.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424302060803040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1382
Unranked
39.31.6
25.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
224
Unranked
24.90.4
27.827.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1412
Unranked
21.61.6
17.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
869
Unranked
19.80.4
15.114.7
Auto
Teleop
End