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Red120
130242.3
22424.9
Blue15
89611.6
1123.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5340010020030040012015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
Unranked
42.38.0
34.342.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
11
Unranked
23.53.1
26.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
Unranked
24.98.0
16.924.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
896
Unranked
11.63.3
14.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End