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Red80
22827.7
37525.5
Blue60
38125.5
8822.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444502060801008060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
27.74.1
23.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
381
Unranked
25.51.8
23.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
375
Unranked
25.54.4
21.125.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
88
Unranked
22.81.8
21.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End